Ontario's previous top doc Schabas takes on Williams & Ford lockdown misinformation

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Agatha Farmer

Ontario’s top doctor Chief Medical Officer of Health Dr. David Williams has said the number of new COVID-19 cases reported daily should be “around or below 1,000” before the lockdown orders can be lifted. On Monday he told Ontarian's that officials would have to be able to guarantee hospital capacity could be protected before changing public health measures in Ontario.

Williams said that the number of people being treated in Ontario intensive care units (ICU) for COVID-19 would also have to be reduced from 400 to about 150.

The province said that it becomes harder to support non-COVID-19 needs when the number of ICU patients with the novel coronavirus exceeds 150. It becomes “impossible” to handle once it exceeds 350 people.

As of Monday, there are currently 1,571 patients in hospital with COVID-19. Of those, at least 394 patients are being treated in the ICU and 303 are breathing with the assistance of a ventilator.

"If you do that knowing the different numbers and per cents that usually get admitted to hospital and how many of those end up in the (intensive care unit) ICU you get a general sense that you have to get somewhere around or below 1,000 new cases a day,” he said.

“It was only a few months ago, the end of October that we were there, and we can get back there I believe.”

The doctor is now leading the province on "general sense" it seems instead of actual factual data. Something Dr. Richard Schabas is saying loud and clear that this government is in fact doing.

Richard Schabas is a retired physician. He was Ontario’s chief medical officer of health for 10 years, and was chief of staff at York Central Hospital during the SARS crisis in 2003.

Schabas said MPP Roman Baber, who released a fact sheet last week in a letter about the damage of lockdowns to Ford which prompted Douggie to fire him from the PC caucus, was correct about the damage lockdowns are causing.

In his letter to Ford Schabas states the following:

"Reasonable estimates of the infection rate from Covid have been declining as we learn more. Outside LTC the risk of dying if you are infected with Covid is probably less than 0.2% overall and deaths are concentrated in the frail elderly. Younger people and healthy people have a much lower risk. Models that predicted hundreds of thousands of deaths from Covid in Canada were wrong because they used incorrect, exaggerated inputs.

The lockdown was never part of our planned pandemic response nor is it supported by strong science. Lockdown has been used by almost every developed country and in the great majority of cases the lack of response speaks for itself. Two recent studies on the effectiveness of lockdown show that it has, at most, a small Covid mortality benefit compared to more moderate measures. Both studies warn about the excessive cost of lockdowns.

There are significant costs to lockdowns - lost education, unemployment, social isolation, deteriorating mental health and compromised access to health care. Lockdown is an affront to social justice because its burdens fall disproportionately on the young, working poor and visible minorities. We will be paying for lockdowns - in lives and dollars for decades to come.

In April 2020 the government announced that it had added almost 1,500 critical care beds to cope with a Covid surge. Now, after nine months to prepare for the predicable resurgence of Covid, why do you have less ICU capacity than we had last April?

The government has resorted to fear mongering to encourage compliance with lockdown. An excellent example is in the governments response to Mr. Baber's letter. Instead of addressing his point about Covid Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) the government cited Covid's reported case fatality rate (CFR). Every knowledgeable observer of Covid understands that CFR is in itself an irrelevant number. IFR is the meaningful measure of virulence. CFR's only "virtue" is its ability to frighten by overstating the real risk of dying from a Covid infection. I can think of no other reason for the government to cite CFR except to promote fear.

Covid is a natural disaster with tragic consequences. Our well intentioned but misguided effort to control Covid are only compounding the tragedy. We need to change the course. Mr. Baber deserves great credit for his courage in trying to open the discussion."

Two top doctors are in a fundamental disagreement on lockdowns. It's interesting to note that Williams trained under Schabas. Where does this leave the average citizen with zero recourse or control over their own lives and livelihoods.

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